Ganhos totais
+$2.65M
Perdas totais
$-510.5k
Taxa de vitória
56.0%
Valor das posições
$820.0k
Maior vitória
$1.40M
Mercados
9730
Simular ganhos
Imagine usar o mesmo valor em cada aposta que ele fechou naquele mês (incluindo algumas já decididas que ainda aparecem abertas). O resultado ajusta proporcionalmente ao que ele investiu de verdade.
Mês atual
julho de 2026
36 apostas (Vitoriosas: 19 · Perdedoras: 17)
No mês (resultado real dele): -R$ 264,35 mil · investido R$ 1,25 mi
Seu lucro/prejuízo estimado: -R$ 798,02
Mês anterior
junho de 2026
107 apostas (Vitoriosas: 62 · Perdedoras: 45)
No mês (resultado real dele): R$ 103,26 mil · investido R$ 2,11 mi
Seu lucro/prejuízo estimado: R$ 498,25
Score tipster
5789% dos fechamentos parecem hold até resolução (heurística).
Lucro / prejuízo
$-953.0k
Últimos 30 dias
PolyTracker
Posições abertas são mercados em que o trader ainda tem cotas. Investido = custo; Valor = marcação a mercado. Os links abrem o evento no Polymarket.
Detalhes: estados e colunas
Posições abertas são mercados em que este trader ainda tem cotas — em geral antes da liquidação. Abra o link do evento no Polymarket: se o mercado ainda estiver ativo, você também pode operar. “Resgatável” indica que o Polymarket pode permitir resgatar/reivindicar as cotas.
“Investido” é o custo (USDC aplicado) segundo a API do Polymarket; “Valor” é marcação a mercado. O app do Polymarket costuma destacar o valor atual — compare a mesma coluna ao conferir números.
Ver negócios agrupados por dia
Assine o Pro para ver a atividade desta carteira por dia civil (data local), agrupada por mercado com rótulos de confiança — os mesmos sinais da watchlist.
Ver planos em configurações →| Data | Mercado | Investido | Valor | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2026 |  Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket35.5¢· 52.732,1 cotas | $18.7k | $5.0k $-13.7k (-73.3%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NoAtivo — negociar no Polymarket72.4¢· 79.329,9 cotas | $57.4k | $59.9k $2.5k (+4.3%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket9.0¢· 50.000 cotas | $4.5k | $4.3k $-250.00 (-5.6%) | |
| 29/07/2026 |  Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? NoAtivo — negociar no Polymarket99.5¢· 300.000 cotas | $298.5k | $298.6k $150.30 (+5.0%) | |
| 13/08/2026 |  Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket7.4¢· 123.107,2 cotas | $9.1k | $3.5k $-5.6k (-61.3%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? NoAtivo — negociar no Polymarket47.2¢· 52.573,5 cotas | $24.8k | $45.5k $20.6k (+83.1%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 590.204,5 cotas | $4.1k | $5.0k $885.31 (+21.4%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.9¢· 55.895,3 cotas | $483.38 | $279.48 $-203.91 (-42.2%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar24.2¢· 204.071,7 cotas | $49.3k | $0.00 $-49.3k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.776.704 cotas | $46.2k | $0.00 $-46.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar1.5¢· 1.224.999,7 cotas | $18.8k | $0.00 $-18.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar7.2¢· 500.196,8 cotas | $36.2k | $0.00 $-36.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket3.8¢· 296.645,7 cotas | $11.4k | $14.4k $3.0k (+26.5%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket1.5¢· 270.646,1 cotas | $4.1k | $3.1k $-1.0k (-24.4%) | |
| 07/11/2028 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket2.6¢· 101.417,8 cotas | $2.7k | $2.6k $-91.07 (-3.4%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket18.2¢· 95.821,7 cotas | $17.4k | $19.2k $1.8k (+10.4%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $139.62 $-492.11 (-77.9%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $325.78 $-305.95 (-48.4%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $139.62 $-492.11 (-77.9%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $139.62 $-492.11 (-77.9%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $139.62 $-492.11 (-77.9%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $139.62 $-492.11 (-77.9%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 93.079,5 cotas | $631.73 | $418.86 $-212.87 (-33.7%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket1.0¢· 91.217,7 cotas | $881.80 | $592.91 $-288.89 (-32.8%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 89.151,7 cotas | $644.75 | $1.4k $737.11 (+114.3%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.7¢· 85.839,5 cotas | $560.62 | $472.12 $-88.50 (-15.8%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.6¢· 70.079,5 cotas | $454.61 | $385.44 $-69.17 (-15.2%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.6¢· 70.074,2 cotas | $454.57 | $1.8k $1.3k (+291.6%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket1.6¢· 63.803 cotas | $1.0k | $3.6k $2.6k (+245.9%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket9.6¢· 61.628,6 cotas | $5.9k | $7.6k $1.7k (+28.2%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket3.5¢· 61.492,9 cotas | $2.1k | $7.8k $5.6k (+262.8%) | |
| 07/11/2028 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket1.0¢· 55.157,4 cotas | $544.68 | $744.63 $199.95 (+36.7%) | |
| 07/11/2028 |  Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket0.6¢· 46.943,8 cotas | $304.52 | $305.13 $0.61 (+20.0%) | |
| 07/11/2028 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket5.2¢· 34.419,7 cotas | $1.8k | $3.1k $1.3k (+74.7%) | |
| 01/01/2027 |  Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket9.0¢· 33.398,2 cotas | $3.0k | $1.9k $-1.2k (-38.4%) | |
| 01/01/2027 |  Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? NoAtivo — negociar no Polymarket41.9¢· 32.761,5 cotas | $13.7k | $23.8k $10.0k (+73.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar1.7¢· 1.870.896,8 cotas | $31.5k | $0.00 $-31.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.3¢· 1.548.582,7 cotas | $35.3k | $0.00 $-35.3k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.3¢· 1.433.966,6 cotas | $32.7k | $0.00 $-32.7k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.4¢· 1.392.613,5 cotas | $33.5k | $0.00 $-33.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.4¢· 1.381.529,7 cotas | $33.3k | $0.00 $-33.3k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.318.721,9 cotas | $33.2k | $0.00 $-33.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.315.150,3 cotas | $33.2k | $0.00 $-33.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.314.846,2 cotas | $33.2k | $0.00 $-33.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.313.750,2 cotas | $33.2k | $0.00 $-33.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.313.493,7 cotas | $33.2k | $0.00 $-33.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.311.677,7 cotas | $33.2k | $0.00 $-33.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.306.423,1 cotas | $33.1k | $0.00 $-33.1k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 1.297.198,8 cotas | $33.0k | $0.00 $-33.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.228.001,9 cotas | $32.1k | $0.00 $-32.1k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 1.140.000 cotas | $30.0k | $0.00 $-30.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 740.000 cotas | $19.4k | $0.00 $-19.4k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  US forces enter Iran by December 31? NoResolvido / resgatar19.8¢· 78.500,6 cotas | $15.5k | $0.00 $-15.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? NoResolvido / resgatar27.7¢· 63.875,6 cotas | $17.7k | $0.00 $-17.7k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? NoResolvido / resgatar1.3¢· 60.373,3 cotas | $767.22 | $0.00 $-767.22 (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? YesResolvido / resgatar27.7¢· 54.859 cotas | $15.2k | $0.00 $-15.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 | Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? YesResolvido / resgatar0.6¢· 52.184,4 cotas | $295.57 | $0.00 $-295.57 (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket11.0¢· 51.033,7 cotas | $5.6k | $44.3k $38.7k (+688.6%) | |
| 31/12/2026 |  Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket4.9¢· 44.958,4 cotas | $2.2k | $37.0k $34.8k (+1562.4%) | |
| 31/12/2026 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? YesResolvido / resgatar10.8¢· 44.039,1 cotas | $4.8k | $0.00 $-4.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 | Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? YesResolvido / resgatar8.7¢· 40.511,2 cotas | $3.5k | $0.00 $-3.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 | Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? YesResolvido / resgatar5.6¢· 35.225,4 cotas | $2.0k | $0.00 $-2.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/12/2026 | Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? YesResolvido / resgatar2.6¢· 33.513 cotas | $884.57 | $0.00 $-884.57 (-100.0%) | |
| 31/07/2026 |  Starmer out by July 31, 2026? NoResolvido / resgatar3.5¢· 60.573,6 cotas | $2.1k | $0.00 $-2.1k (-100.0%) | |
| 29/07/2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket20.0¢· 251.196,8 cotas | $50.2k | $182.0k $131.8k (+262.2%) | |
| 29/07/2026 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? YesAtivo — negociar no Polymarket20.0¢· 149.999,8 cotas | $30.0k | $40.4k $10.4k (+34.7%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar0.3¢· 999.999,6 cotas | $3.0k | $0.00 $-3.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar1.4¢· 912.898,5 cotas | $12.8k | $0.00 $-12.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar4.9¢· 200.000 cotas | $9.8k | $0.00 $-9.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar13.8¢· 152.330,4 cotas | $21.0k | $0.00 $-21.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 20/07/2026 |  Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesResolvido / resgatar2.5¢· 150.000,1 cotas | $3.7k | $0.00 $-3.7k (-100.0%) | |
| 30/06/2026 |  US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? NoResolvido / resgatar44.6¢· 69.854,6 cotas | $31.2k | $0.00 $-31.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 22/06/2026 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? NoResolvido / resgatar8.8¢· 52.727 cotas | $4.7k | $0.00 $-4.7k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/05/2026 |  US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? YesResolvido / resgatar8.6¢· 33.570,1 cotas | $2.9k | $0.00 $-2.9k (-100.0%) | |
| 26/05/2026 |  Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? YesResolvido / resgatar84.2¢· 48.032,3 cotas | $40.4k | $0.00 $-40.4k (-100.0%) | |
| 30/04/2026 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? NoResolvido / resgatar33.6¢· 102.680,2 cotas | $34.5k | $0.00 $-34.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 30/04/2026 |  Will Trump visit China by April 30? YesResolvido / resgatar0.2¢· 40.976,3 cotas | $65.56 | $0.00 $-65.56 (-100.0%) | |
| 07/04/2026 |  US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? NoResolvido / resgatar40.5¢· 35.943 cotas | $14.6k | $0.00 $-14.6k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/03/2026 |  Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? YesResolvido / resgatar18.9¢· 344.323,4 cotas | $65.1k | $0.00 $-65.1k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/03/2026 | Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? NoResolvido / resgatar1.5¢· 244.770,7 cotas | $3.8k | $0.00 $-3.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/03/2026 |  Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? YesResolvido / resgatar7.6¢· 198.219,2 cotas | $15.0k | $0.00 $-15.0k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/03/2026 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? YesResolvido / resgatar17.1¢· 98.069,1 cotas | $16.7k | $0.00 $-16.7k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/03/2026 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? NoResolvido / resgatar27.3¢· 35.760,1 cotas | $9.8k | $0.00 $-9.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/03/2026 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? NoResolvido / resgatar16.8¢· 34.572 cotas | $5.8k | $0.00 $-5.8k (-100.0%) | |
| 15/03/2026 |  Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? NoResolvido / resgatar45.6¢· 34.859,2 cotas | $15.9k | $0.00 $-15.9k (-100.0%) | |
| 15/03/2026 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? YesResolvido / resgatar2.3¢· 31.919,6 cotas | $740.92 | $0.00 $-740.92 (-100.0%) | |
| 10/03/2026 |  Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? NoResolvido / resgatar6.0¢· 53.773,5 cotas | $3.2k | $0.00 $-3.2k (-100.0%) | |
| 14/02/2026 |  Government shutdown on Saturday? YesResolvido / resgatar22.1¢· 76.203,8 cotas | $16.9k | $0.00 $-16.9k (-100.0%) | |
| 10/02/2026 |  Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? YesResolvido / resgatar8.4¢· 30.255,9 cotas | $2.5k | $0.00 $-2.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 03/02/2026 | US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? YesResolvido / resgatar2.7¢· 61.674,8 cotas | $1.7k | $0.00 $-1.7k (-100.0%) | |
| 02/02/2026 | US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? YesResolvido / resgatar0.4¢· 121.903,1 cotas | $487.61 | $0.00 $-487.61 (-100.0%) | |
| 31/01/2026 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? YesResolvido / resgatar3.4¢· 101.936,7 cotas | $3.5k | $0.00 $-3.5k (-100.0%) | |
| 31/01/2026 |  Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? YesResolvido / resgatar31.9¢· 48.142,7 cotas | $15.4k | $0.00 $-15.4k (-100.0%) |